Indian Stock Market Outlook for Monday, June 23, 2025, Can Bulls Defend 25,000 Amid Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict?
Mumbai: After a volatile week driven by geopolitical tensions and cautious investor sentiment, the Indian stock market is poised for a decisive session on Monday, June 23, 2025. Market experts and analysts are closely watching whether the bulls can defend the crucial 25,000-mark on the Nifty amid the rapidly escalating Israel-Iran conflict and fresh U.S. military involvement.
Nifty Prediction Tomorrow: Can Bulls Defend 25,000 Amid Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict?
As the Israel-Iran conflict entered a new and volatile phase—with the United States launching strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities—investor sentiment may take a hit. Analysts warn of continued jitteriness on Dalal Street as global investors begin moving funds to safe-haven assets like gold, bonds, and the U.S. dollar.
However, the Indian market showed resilience on Friday (June 20), rebounding sharply after three sessions of decline. The BSE Sensex surged 1,046.30 points (1.29%) to close at 82,408.17, and the Nifty 50 jumped 319.15 points (1.29%) to 25,112.40.
For the week of June 17–21, the Sensex gained 1,289.57 points (1.58%) and the Nifty rose 393.8 points (1.59%).
On the technical front, Nifty formed a long bullish candle on the daily chart, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. “Nifty gave a consolidation breakout on Friday and closed decisively above 25,000, indicating that the underlying trend is positive,” said Laxmikant Shukla, Technical Research Analyst at Yes Securities, in a conversation with ET NOW Swadesh.
- Resistance Zone: 25,300 – A key Fibonacci retracement level (78.6%).
- Support Levels: 24,700 to 24,500 – A crucial demand zone to watch for pullbacks.
The market outlook will also depend heavily on foreign institutional investor (FII) behavior. On Friday, FIIs were net buyers with purchases worth ₹7,940.70 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) booked profits worth ₹3,049.88 crore. However, for June so far, FIIs remain net sellers, with an outflow of ₹4,192 crore—raising concerns over short-term market liquidity.
Summary: Key Technical Levels for June 23
| Index | View | Levels |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty | Bullish Bias | Resistance: 25,300 Support: 24,700–24,500 |
| Sensex | Cautiously Bullish | Resistance: 82,800 Support: 81,100 |
Market Strategy
- Entry Opportunities: Consider buying on dips near support with tight stop-losses (Nifty < 24,885, Bank Nifty < 55,500).
- Top Picks: Defensive plays—FMCG, healthcare, utilities, along with financials, private banks, infrastructure. Also insurance and defence for stability
- Key Names to Watch: Larsen & Toubro (L&T) recommended as a buy by ICICI Securities for Monday; defensive shorts in private defence suggested by analysts
Bottom Line
Expect a modestly positive start on Monday, buoyed by recent gains and domestic buying. But with geopolitical tensions and crude volatility looming, it’s wise to tread cautiously. Stick to defensive sectors and buy-on-dip strategies—a balanced approach while keeping eyes on global trends and volatility cues.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this blog is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers are advised to consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and publisher are not liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of this information.
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