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India’s Economy to Grow at 6.4% in 2025 and 2026: IMF Forecast Highlights Reform-Driven Stability

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New Delhi: In its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected that India will grow at a steady 6.4% in both FY2025 and FY2026, citing reform momentum and rising public investment as key drivers behind this robust economic performance.

These projections represent a slight upward revision from April’s forecast — by 0.2 percentage points for 2025 and 0.1 percentage point for 2026 — indicating stronger macroeconomic stability and a more favourable global environment.

Reform Momentum and Public Investment Fueling Growth

IMF Research Department’s Division Chief Deniz Igan, during a media briefing, emphasized that India’s stable growth trajectory is supported by:

  • Robust consumption
  • Government-led infrastructure push
  • Continued economic reforms

“The driver of this relatively stable growth for India is the fact that there has been a reform momentum supporting robust consumption growth and a push for public investment,” said Igan.

Policy Focus: Jobs, Reskilling, and Labour Market Reforms

Looking ahead, the IMF highlighted key policy areas for India to sustain long-term growth:

  • Job creation and labour reskilling
  • Absorbing surplus agricultural labour
  • Expanding social safety nets
  • Reducing red tape and improving business ease
  • Investments in education and land reform

India vs Global and Emerging Market Outlook

In comparison to other economies, India continues to outperform many emerging markets and advanced economies:

  • Emerging Markets: 4.1% in 2025, 4.0% in 2026
  • China: Revised up to 4.8% (2025) and 4.2% (2026)
  • United States: 1.9% (2025) and 2.0% (2026)
  • Global Growth: 3.0% in 2025, 3.1% in 2026

The IMF attributed this global uptick to lower-than-expected tariff rates, a weaker US dollar, and fiscal expansion in some advanced nations.

India’s consistent growth at 6.4% over the next two fiscal years reinforces its position as a global economic bright spot. With continued reforms and a sharp policy focus on job creation, the country is set to sustain its development momentum.

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